Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +19 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | HART -2.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -0.4 (-19.4) | 133.4 (-10.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -0.8 (-19.8) | 135.0 (-12.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HART -0.4 (-19.4) | 135.1 (-12.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -0.1 (-19.1) | 135.3 (-12.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | HART 61 – 49 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2022 | HART 67 – 55 UALB |
| Feb 28, 2021 | HART 83 – 77 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#288) | -6.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#329) | -1.16 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#327) | -1.51 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#308) | 0.455 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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