Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | HART -111 UALB -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | HART -1.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -1.7 (+4.3) | 132.7 (+27.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -1.7 (+4.3) | 130.6 (+29.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -2.2 (+3.8) | 131.9 (+28.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -2.3 (+3.7) | 132.4 (+27.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | HART 61 – 49 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2022 | HART 67 – 55 UALB |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UALB 71 – 52 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 7-9 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 6-6 |
| Home | 10-1 | 4-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -1.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#192) | -0.87 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#196) | -0.94 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.457 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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