Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +12 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | HART -3.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -1.8 (+10.2) | 136.5 (-26.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -1.8 (+10.2) | 137.7 (-27.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -1.9 (+10.1) | 138.6 (-28.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -1.6 (+10.4) | 138.6 (-28.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2022 | HART 67 – 55 UALB |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UALB 71 – 52 HART |
| Feb 28, 2021 | HART 83 – 77 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#276) | -7.0 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#301) | -1.19 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#311) | -1.64 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#275) | 0.452 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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