Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | UALB -145 HART +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +12 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -3.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -1.8 (-13.8) | 134.6 (-12.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -1.3 (-13.3) | 137.8 (-15.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -2.1 (-14.1) | 139.4 (-17.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -2.1 (-14.1) | 138.6 (-16.6) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | HART 61 – 49 UALB |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UALB 71 – 52 HART |
| Feb 28, 2021 | HART 83 – 77 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#275) | -6.8 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#261) | -1.65 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#273) | -2.12 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.443 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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