Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -8.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -6.6 (-4.6) | 140.7 (-18.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -7.1 (-5.1) | 144.2 (-22.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.8 (-4.8) | 144.3 (-22.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.1 (-5.1) | 142.1 (-20.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#107) | -1.2 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#143) | 0.18 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#133) | 0.16 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.519 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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