Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -0.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.1 (-2.1) | 143.9 (-13.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.1 (-1.9) | 146.9 (-16.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -0.2 (-1.8) | 146.6 (-16.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.5 (-1.5) | 146.5 (-16.5) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | YSU 88 – 79 UIC |
| Feb 26, 2021 | YSU 74 – 58 UIC |
| Jan 23, 2021 | YSU 85 – 77 UIC |
| Jan 22, 2021 | UIC 67 – 66 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 12-9 |
| Home | 6-6 | 13-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#282) | -4.3 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#286) | -1.18 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#297) | -1.40 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#297) | 0.438 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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