Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -225 UIC +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -4.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -4.6 (+11.4) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.1 (+10.9) | 141.2 (-9.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -4.9 (+11.1) | 142.0 (-10.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -5.2 (+10.8) | 144.0 (-12.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | YSU 88 – 79 UIC |
| Feb 5, 2022 | YSU 66 – 64 UIC |
| Jan 23, 2021 | YSU 85 – 77 UIC |
| Jan 22, 2021 | UIC 67 – 66 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#265) | -7.9 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#244) | -1.16 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#241) | -1.66 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#229) | 0.424 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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