Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | YSU +110 UIC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -2.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.8 (-0.2) | 143.3 (-10.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.9 (+0.9) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.7 (+0.7) | 145.3 (-12.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.9 (+0.9) | 146.8 (-13.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | YSU 88 – 79 UIC |
| Feb 5, 2022 | YSU 66 – 64 UIC |
| Feb 26, 2021 | YSU 74 – 58 UIC |
| Jan 23, 2021 | YSU 85 – 77 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#298) | -3.6 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#264) | -0.30 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#281) | -0.63 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#268) | 0.467 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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