Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -110 UIC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -1.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -1.2 (+6.8) | 143.1 (+18.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -0.1 (+8.1) | 142.6 (+19.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.5 (+8.5) | 143.6 (+18.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.1 (+7.9) | 144.2 (+17.8) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | YSU 88 – 79 UIC |
| Feb 5, 2022 | YSU 66 – 64 UIC |
| Feb 26, 2021 | YSU 74 – 58 UIC |
| Jan 22, 2021 | UIC 67 – 66 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#297) | -4.0 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#282) | -0.18 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#282) | -0.69 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#263) | 0.476 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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