Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -6.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -4.3 (+4.7) | 141.7 (+25.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -4.7 (+4.3) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -4.2 (+4.8) | 142.7 (+24.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -5.0 (+4.0) | 142.4 (+24.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | YSU 66 – 64 UIC |
| Feb 26, 2021 | YSU 74 – 58 UIC |
| Jan 23, 2021 | YSU 85 – 77 UIC |
| Jan 22, 2021 | UIC 67 – 66 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 9-10 |
| Home | 13-7 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#237) | -7.2 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#253) | -1.36 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#253) | -1.95 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#266) | 0.446 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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