Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -18.2 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -13.2 (+11.2) | 154.9 (-8.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -14.8 (+12.8) | 155.5 (-9.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -14.2 (+12.2) | 155.9 (-9.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -13.3 (+11.3) | 155.3 (-9.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-13 | 16-0 |
| Away | 0-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#208) | 19.3 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#233) | 4.30 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#228) | 5.22 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#238) | 0.677 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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