Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -165 COPP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -5.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -3.1 (-2.1) | 147.4 (-10.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -4.3 (-3.3) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -4.1 (-3.1) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -3.3 (-2.3) | 145.6 (-8.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-2 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#269) | -8.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#259) | -1.48 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#277) | -1.78 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#249) | 0.441 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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