Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -1400 COPP +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -14.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -11.3 (+0.7) | 141.3 (-11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -11.3 (+0.7) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -12.3 (-0.3) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -11.4 (+0.6) | 143.0 (-13.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCCU 77 – 46 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#291) | -18.8 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#315) | -2.94 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#321) | -3.90 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#317) | 0.374 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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