Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -800 COPP +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +31 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -15.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -11.2 (+19.8) | 130.9 (-7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -11.4 (+19.6) | 129.7 (-6.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -11.8 (+19.2) | 128.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -11.7 (+19.3) | 129.4 (-6.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 1-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 2-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#264) | -16.6 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#230) | -3.47 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#237) | -3.94 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#210) | 0.341 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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