Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +340 NCCU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -5.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -5.2 (+7.2) | 134.1 (-10.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -6.7 (+8.7) | 131.9 (-7.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -5.1 (+7.1) | 135.1 (-11.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -5.2 (+7.2) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCCU 77 – 46 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-17 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -17.6 (#361) | -7.9 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#351) | -1.39 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#348) | -2.35 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#336) | 0.447 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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