Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -535 COPP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +2 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -12.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-35.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -11.0 (-13.0) | 141.2 (-27.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -9.8 (-11.8) | 142.1 (-28.1) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -10.9 (-12.9) | 143.2 (-29.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -10.8 (-12.8) | 142.5 (-28.5) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCCU 77 – 46 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#344) | -23.3 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#339) | -3.42 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#344) | -4.49 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#306) | 0.374 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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