Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +320 NCCU -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +25 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -9.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -9.2 (-15.8) | 134.0 (+7.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -8.4 (-16.6) | 133.2 (+7.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -9.1 (-15.9) | 134.8 (+6.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -9.6 (-15.4) | 134.9 (+6.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCCU 77 – 46 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 2-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 0-17 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#359) | -4.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.52 (#361) | -0.89 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.86 (#357) | -1.08 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#362) | 0.452 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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