Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +20 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -8.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -5.9 (+14.1) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -6.2 (+13.8) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -6.6 (+13.4) | 144.4 (+7.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -6.5 (+13.5) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ECU 73 – 64 TULN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TULN 86 – 81 ECU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TULN 81 – 78 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#108) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#147) | 0.30 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#167) | 0.23 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#141) | 0.490 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.