Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ECU -240 TULN +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -2.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -2.6 (+6.4) | 147.7 (-10.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -2.3 (+6.7) | 146.9 (-9.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -2.8 (+6.2) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -2.4 (+6.6) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TULN 86 – 81 ECU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TULN 81 – 78 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | ECU 83 – 68 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#162) | 0.7 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#165) | -0.08 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#179) | -0.07 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#183) | 0.503 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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