Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ECU +188 TULN -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -4.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -3.1 (+18.1) | 155.9 (-4.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -2.4 (+17.4) | 153.8 (-2.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -2.5 (+17.5) | 153.1 (-2.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -3.3 (+18.3) | 154.5 (-3.5) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ECU 73 – 64 TULN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TULN 86 – 81 ECU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TULN 81 – 78 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#212) | 5.9 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#199) | 1.02 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | 1.27 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#241) | 0.533 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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