Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -145 ECU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -4.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -3.1 (+1.9) | 140.9 (+26.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -2.3 (+2.7) | 141.3 (+25.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -2.7 (+2.3) | 139.0 (+28.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -2.5 (+2.5) | 139.9 (+27.1) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ECU 73 – 64 TULN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TULN 81 – 78 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | ECU 83 – 68 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#141) | 0.1 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#182) | 0.04 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#171) | -0.19 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#189) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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