Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -800 ECU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -10.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -9.6 (-6.6) | 154.7 (+4.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -7.7 (-4.7) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -9.3 (-6.3) | 154.3 (+4.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -10.2 (-7.2) | 154.6 (+4.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ECU 73 – 64 TULN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TULN 86 – 81 ECU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 2, 2023 | ECU 83 – 68 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#96) | -1.6 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#96) | -0.10 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#97) | -0.02 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#125) | 0.480 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 18.6% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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