Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -10.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -9.6 (+4.6) | 137.2 (+13.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.1 (+4.1) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.7 (+4.7) | 142.9 (+8.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -10.4 (+5.4) | 141.2 (+9.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | DAV 84 – 79 GW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GW 74 – 67 DAV |
| Jan 13, 2024 | GW 83 – 79 DAV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | GW 75 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#263) | 8.7 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#231) | 2.62 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#248) | 2.78 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#227) | 0.606 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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