Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | GW -125 DAV +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | GW -3.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.7 (+3.3) | 145.6 (+16.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -2.8 (+1.2) | 147.3 (+14.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -2.9 (+1.1) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -2.3 (+1.7) | 146.7 (+15.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | DAV 84 – 79 GW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GW 74 – 67 DAV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | GW 75 – 70 DAV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | DAV 78 – 73 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#151) | 1.3 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#107) | 0.64 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#118) | 0.74 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#147) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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