Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | GW -575 DAV +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -13.9 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -10.8 (-15.8) | 144.8 (+18.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -11.9 (-16.9) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -12.3 (-17.3) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -13.2 (-18.2) | 145.0 (+18.0) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | GW 74 – 67 DAV |
| Jan 13, 2024 | GW 83 – 79 DAV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | GW 75 – 70 DAV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | DAV 78 – 73 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#51) | 0.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#90) | 0.34 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#87) | 0.26 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#88) | 0.522 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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