Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -275 GW +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -7.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -7.8 (-12.8) | 151.2 (-6.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -5.3 (-10.3) | 152.1 (-7.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -5.0 (-10.0) | 154.4 (-9.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -5.9 (-10.9) | 152.4 (-7.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | DAV 84 – 79 GW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GW 74 – 67 DAV |
| Jan 13, 2024 | GW 83 – 79 DAV |
| Feb 5, 2022 | DAV 78 – 73 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#139) | -2.6 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#147) | -0.17 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#124) | -0.42 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.490 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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