Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -20.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -23.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -19.0 (-6.0) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -16.8 (-3.8) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -18.6 (-5.6) | 142.5 (-1.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -18.3 (-5.3) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#89) | -13.8 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#36) | -2.52 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#43) | -3.09 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#47) | 0.402 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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