Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +225 OHIO -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -5.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.1 (+13.1) | 153.3 (+1.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -4.0 (+13.0) | 150.4 (+4.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -4.7 (+13.7) | 150.5 (+4.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.5 (+13.5) | 152.3 (+2.7) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OHIO 88 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#309) | 0.2 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#305) | 0.01 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#304) | -0.16 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#289) | 0.517 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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