Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -400 WMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -11.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -9.8 (+2.2) | 150.6 (+13.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -11.0 (+1.0) | 148.7 (+15.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -9.7 (+2.3) | 152.1 (+11.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -9.8 (+2.2) | 152.7 (+11.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | -5.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#162) | -1.73 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#149) | -2.01 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#161) | 0.432 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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