Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -600 WMU +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +20 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -6.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -5.0 (+15.0) | 149.9 (+12.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.1 (+14.9) | 150.0 (+12.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.7 (+15.3) | 151.0 (+11.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -5.3 (+14.7) | 152.8 (+9.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OHIO 88 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#216) | -6.2 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | -0.83 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#173) | -1.03 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#145) | 0.461 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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