Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Mid-American Conference · Convocation Center (OH) · February 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OHIO -10.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money OHIO -600 / WMU +440
Model Predictions
Spread Total OHIO win
Actual OHIO +20 162 Won
Massey OHIO -6.0 (+14.0) — —
Massey Totals — 158.7 (+3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OHIO -5.3 (+14.7) 152.8 (+9.2) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OHIO -5.0 (+15.0) 149.9 (+12.1) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OHIO -5.1 (+14.9) 150.0 (+12.0) 71% ✓
Baseline ML OHIO -4.7 (+15.3) 151.0 (+11.0) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2025 WMU 82 – 73 OHIO
Feb 5, 2025 OHIO 94 – 69 WMU
Mar 14, 2024 OHIO 82 – 55 WMU
Jan 13, 2024 WMU 81 – 79 OHIO
Jan 25, 2023 OHIO 88 – 76 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OHIO WMU
Overall 15-17 10-21
Conference 9-9 4-14
Home 10-6 7-8
Away 4-8 3-13
Neutral 1-3 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L4 L3
Avg Pts For 76.7 73.9
Avg Pts Against 80.0 80.1
Massey -3.2 (#216) -6.2 (#262)
Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#171) -0.83 (#243)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.10 (#173) -1.03 (#240)
RPI 0.512 (#145) 0.461 (#246)
Shooting & Four Factors OHIO WMU
FG% 45.2% 44.2%
3PT% 29.0% 34.0%
REB / G 33.2 36.7
OREB / G 10.4 11.4
AST / TO 0.98 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 50.5%
TOV% 16.9% 18.1%
ORB% 29.3% 32.1%
FT Rate 25.9% 23.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 13.9%
DRB% 66.0% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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