Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -750 WMU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +25 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -11.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -9.2 (+15.8) | 150.6 (+12.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -9.9 (+15.1) | 148.9 (+14.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.9 (+16.1) | 147.9 (+15.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -8.4 (+16.6) | 147.5 (+15.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OHIO 88 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#170) | -8.2 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#186) | -1.66 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#199) | -2.06 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#158) | 0.424 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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