Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -500 WMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +27 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -8.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -7.6 (+19.4) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -6.8 (+20.2) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -7.8 (+19.2) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -6.6 (+20.4) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OHIO 88 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#156) | -7.1 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#167) | -0.99 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#161) | -1.41 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.453 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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