Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WMU +145 OHIO -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -0.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -0.6 (+1.4) | 152.8 (+7.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -0.1 (+2.1) | 150.5 (+9.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -0.5 (+1.5) | 150.3 (+9.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -0.8 (+1.2) | 153.1 (+6.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | OHIO 88 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#273) | -1.6 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#258) | -0.80 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#267) | -0.81 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#271) | 0.443 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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