Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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90–34 on winners spread MAE 9.7 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wichita State @ Temple +0.8 148.4 57% 85–91 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +5.5 161.9 68% 85–116 ✓
Stonehill @ Mercyhurst -2.1 135.1 33% 69–76 ✗
Le Moyne @ Long Island University +2.0 140.0 62% 62–78 ✓
Chicago State @ Wagner +7.8 127.2 71% 64–52 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis -5.5 139.4 27% 74–59 ✓
Marist @ Iona -1.6 133.9 34% 70–65 ✓
Manhattan @ Siena +2.2 143.3 62% 95–103 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +2.8 133.1 53% 59–46 ✗
Michigan State @ Ohio State +4.4 149.7 65% 69–62 ✗
Xavier @ Georgetown +2.5 144.7 62% 63–69 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette +12.0 144.7 87% 71–79 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Saint Louis +0.2 147.5 48% 57–73 ✓
Nevada @ New Mexico +4.2 149.8 72% 81–82 ✓
Florida @ Kentucky +1.9 160.4 69% 100–106 ✓
Georgia @ Ole Miss +4.2 140.2 66% 51–63 ✓
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +13.2 138.5 87% 50–69 ✓
Boston College @ Georgia Tech +6.5 145.8 75% 64–85 ✓
NC State @ Wake Forest +1.8 133.5 60% 59–77 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -2.0 156.3 38% 74–73 ✓
Richmond @ Massachusetts +4.1 147.0 67% 72–64 ✗
Dayton @ George Washington -5.1 141.1 30% 62–82 ✗
DePaul @ Villanova +6.9 150.7 77% 56–100 ✓
William & Mary @ Stony Brook -4.0 151.2 33% 83–76 ✓
Hofstra @ Northeastern +4.1 134.2 65% 55–37 ✗
Toledo @ Western Michigan +0.3 149.7 55% 76–70 ✗
Arkansas @ Tennessee +12.5 137.0 82% 52–76 ✓
Vermont @ New Hampshire -6.4 129.5 22% 60–40 ✓
Texas State @ App State -1.6 132.4 46% 61–72 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy -5.4 145.0 27% 64–56 ✓
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +9.8 140.8 85% 60–78 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Queens University -2.6 143.4 42% 83–92 ✗
Chattanooga @ The Citadel -9.8 142.1 15% 81–68 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) +11.1 148.4 88% 79–93 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State +6.0 153.9 76% 55–74 ✓
BYU @ Houston +9.7 131.7 75% 55–86 ✓
UCLA @ Nebraska +0.9 132.8 58% 58–66 ✓
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +12.1 143.6 86% 50–85 ✓
High Point @ UNC Asheville -0.6 150.8 46% 99–103 ✗
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +2.9 146.8 67% 61–63 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice +6.5 139.3 75% 55–68 ✓
Tulsa @ UAB +10.1 155.5 82% 51–83 ✓
Miami @ Virginia Tech +1.4 146.3 55% 85–86 ✓
VCU @ Loyola Chicago -5.4 138.7 31% 84–65 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham -7.7 137.3 19% 86–66 ✓
Duquesne @ Davidson +7.3 133.5 78% 71–77 ✓
George Mason @ Rhode Island +2.2 140.9 61% 59–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -2.8 145.4 31% 66–62 ✓
Stetson @ West Georgia +7.2 146.1 61% 78–62 ✗
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas +5.4 148.3 68% 65–71 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +0.5 148.7 50% 55–81 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton +1.7 147.6 57% 82–87 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +10.7 147.4 81% 62–70 ✓
UL Monroe @ Coastal Carolina +6.7 136.4 72% 51–70 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +8.3 139.1 79% 69–77 ✓
Drexel @ North Carolina A&T -3.6 140.9 34% 68–59 ✓
Lipscomb @ North Florida -6.6 152.9 26% 96–64 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota -8.0 157.0 24% 88–80 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota State +14.1 150.6 88% 85–80 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +7.5 146.8 83% 71–75 ✓
Ball State @ Kent State +9.5 130.3 71% 75–67 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Florida International -3.0 145.9 46% 66–85 ✗
Duke @ SMU -3.3 144.7 26% 89–62 ✓
Arizona @ Cincinnati +2.9 141.7 52% 72–67 ✗
Jackson State @ Alcorn State -0.2 140.1 44% 72–69 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern -5.1 141.5 29% 76–47 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +3.9 140.8 65% 79–71 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +9.3 143.6 78% 61–67 ✓
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville +4.7 134.8 73% 44–68 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina -14.1 153.5 14% 88–69 ✓
McNeese @ East Texas A&M -11.6 135.8 13% 75–56 ✓
Missouri @ Auburn +15.4 155.7 87% 68–84 ✓
Kansas State @ TCU +6.6 144.3 77% 62–63 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia -2.5 129.8 32% 70–50 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +15.8 139.1 90% 59–81 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -4.0 149.7 35% 73–80 ✗
San Diego State @ Boise State +2.6 134.6 60% 76–68 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State +21.8 144.2 90% 55–84 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +0.1 159.2 40% 73–69 ✗
Weber State @ Northern Arizona +3.2 144.8 67% 77–80 ✓
Portland State @ Sacramento State -3.5 139.5 34% 53–56 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +6.0 148.7 72% 92–93 ✓
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion -0.3 141.7 52% 71–74 ✗
Troy @ Marshall -1.9 138.2 40% 58–57 ✓
Arkansas State @ James Madison -0.7 146.5 43% 62–67 ✗
Monmouth @ Delaware +4.7 152.0 67% 64–84 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +8.6 135.2 82% 53–64 ✓
Furman @ UNC Greensboro +0.0 134.7 47% 67–84 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +4.4 141.9 68% 81–78 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ New Mexico State -2.0 138.3 41% 48–78 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech +3.6 142.5 63% 55–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford +1.1 148.4 58% 67–87 ✓
South Carolina State @ Morgan State -8.4 145.9 21% 86–72 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coppin State -5.2 134.7 30% 61–63 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SE Louisiana +0.6 136.9 49% 80–71 ✗
Mercer @ VMI -0.1 151.7 49% 70–67 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +0.8 139.0 61% 63–66 ✓
Little Rock @ Tennessee State -3.6 135.9 38% 86–95 ✗
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville +6.8 139.2 74% 47–58 ✓
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +3.7 139.6 57% 75–67 ✗
Nicholls @ Northwestern State +3.7 137.4 63% 66–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +2.4 154.1 56% 80–72 ✗
UIC @ Belmont +2.2 156.4 59% 87–92 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -3.8 131.2 30% 70–65 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M +5.3 158.0 78% 79–89 ✓
Montana @ Idaho +0.8 149.9 53% 73–71 ✗
Montana State @ Eastern Washington -0.3 148.4 50% 63–68 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State -0.1 150.2 54% 71–83 ✗
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M +1.3 148.2 56% 55–73 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama +5.5 150.5 74% 67–88 ✓
Oklahoma @ Alabama +9.8 162.0 80% 79–107 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona State +5.9 140.0 71% 61–81 ✓
UTSA @ Tulane +4.3 149.0 70% 63–92 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +10.1 155.3 82% 74–90 ✓
San José State @ UNLV +8.7 142.6 81% 73–79 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern -2.7 140.5 40% 67–58 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ New Orleans -6.9 156.3 24% 76–64 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin +3.2 127.9 62% 55–49 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +11.6 144.5 85% 61–73 ✓
San Diego @ Oregon State +15.7 141.9 88% 54–81 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City +8.4 138.6 77% 67–90 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Liberty +8.6 139.0 78% 63–73 ✓
Stanford @ Pittsburgh +13.8 152.0 87% 68–83 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M -4.6 140.7 31% 62–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.