Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +115 AMCC -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.2 (-7.8) | 137.9 (+13.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.7 (-9.7) | 136.1 (+14.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.6 (-9.6) | 136.9 (+14.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.3 (-8.7) | 138.3 (+12.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#196) | 0.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#272) | -1.05 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#275) | -0.96 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#285) | 0.429 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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