Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -333 SELA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -9.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.1 (+3.9) | 135.8 (+12.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -7.9 (+4.1) | 133.5 (+14.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.3 (+3.7) | 136.6 (+11.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -7.4 (+4.6) | 136.1 (+11.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#176) | -7.2 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#207) | -0.96 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#200) | -1.48 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#178) | 0.476 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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