Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -125 AMCC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.7 (-5.7) | 132.9 (+8.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -0.1 (-4.9) | 131.6 (+9.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.8 (-5.8) | 131.4 (+9.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.4 (-5.4) | 132.3 (+8.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#284) | -4.3 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#266) | -1.01 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#257) | -1.44 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.452 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 40.2% |
Game Analysis
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