Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -165 SELA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -4.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.7 (+11.3) | 143.3 (-21.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.9 (+10.1) | 140.0 (-18.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.8 (+11.2) | 142.1 (-20.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.5 (+11.5) | 142.7 (-20.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#170) | -1.6 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#212) | -0.26 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#204) | -0.47 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#197) | 0.492 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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