Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -225 SELA +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -9.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.0 (+4.0) | 130.8 (-6.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -7.6 (+4.4) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -7.3 (+4.7) | 129.3 (-5.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -7.9 (+4.1) | 128.3 (-4.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 6-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#157) | -6.1 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#203) | -1.95 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#171) | -2.34 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#173) | 0.421 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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