Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +105 AMCC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -3.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.7 (-2.3) | 133.3 (+7.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.2 (-2.8) | 130.5 (+10.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.5 (-2.5) | 132.2 (+8.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.6 (-2.4) | 131.5 (+9.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 16, 2024 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 13-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#282) | -1.5 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#322) | -0.56 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#308) | -0.39 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#334) | 0.484 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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