Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -210 UGA +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +12 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -3.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -4.0 (+8.0) | 139.9 (-25.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -3.8 (+8.2) | 141.0 (-27.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -4.2 (+7.8) | 140.2 (-26.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -5.8 (+6.2) | 142.0 (-28.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UGA 62 – 58 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#40) | 13.7 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#19) | 2.97 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.37 (#12) | 3.94 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#54) | 0.584 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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