Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -675 MISS +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +2 | 192 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -16.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -13.4 (-15.4) | 155.0 (+37.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -11.8 (-13.8) | 156.6 (+35.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -13.6 (-15.6) | 156.6 (+35.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -14.4 (-16.4) | 156.8 (+35.2) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UGA 62 – 58 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#13) | 6.9 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#33) | 0.78 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#31) | 1.38 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#34) | 0.513 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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