Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -111 MISS -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -2.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -1.7 (-5.7) | 140.7 (+11.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -0.6 (-4.6) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -2.0 (-6.0) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -1.7 (-5.7) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UGA 62 – 58 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#127) | 3.8 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#96) | 0.26 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#89) | 0.66 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#126) | 0.519 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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