Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -278 MISS +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -9.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -9.5 (-13.5) | 158.3 (-10.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -8.5 (-12.5) | 160.7 (-12.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -8.6 (-12.6) | 156.3 (-8.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -8.8 (-12.8) | 157.2 (-9.2) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UGA 62 – 58 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#23) | 7.6 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#32) | 0.83 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#30) | 1.28 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#42) | 0.500 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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