Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +4 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -5.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -2.8 (-6.8) | 130.9 (-10.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -2.5 (-6.5) | 131.3 (-11.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -3.1 (-7.1) | 133.0 (-13.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -2.8 (-6.8) | 132.5 (-12.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-10 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#92) | 4.1 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#115) | 1.21 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#88) | 1.68 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#88) | 0.549 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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