Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -145 NICH +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -5.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -2.2 (-0.2) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.6 (-1.6) | 136.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -3.7 (-1.7) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -3.7 (-1.7) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Mar 5, 2024 | NICH 68 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#208) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#240) | 0.14 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#212) | -0.48 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#149) | 0.508 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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