Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +100 NICH -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -0.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -0.8 (-2.2) | 141.6 (-22.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -0.6 (-3.6) | 142.4 (-23.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.3 (-3.3) | 142.8 (-23.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.1 (-2.9) | 142.6 (-23.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
| Mar 5, 2024 | NICH 68 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 12-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#271) | -4.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#312) | -0.73 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#306) | -1.08 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#325) | 0.474 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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