Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -440 NWST +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -11.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -10.6 (-8.6) | 145.1 (+0.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -9.3 (-7.3) | 145.1 (+0.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.3 (-8.3) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -10.2 (-8.2) | 145.4 (+0.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
| Mar 5, 2024 | NICH 68 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 8-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#187) | -9.3 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#206) | -1.91 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#205) | -2.22 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#195) | 0.421 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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