Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -122 NWST +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +14 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -2.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-35.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -1.9 (+12.1) | 134.4 (-26.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.6 (+11.4) | 135.3 (-27.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.0 (+12.0) | 133.4 (-25.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.1 (+11.9) | 133.2 (-25.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
| Mar 5, 2024 | NICH 68 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 8-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#242) | -7.0 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#241) | -1.60 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#251) | -1.98 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#234) | 0.427 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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