Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -300 NWST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -7.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -5.7 (-17.7) | 132.8 (-0.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.8 (-18.8) | 133.9 (-1.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.0 (-18.0) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -5.7 (-17.7) | 133.2 (-1.2) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
| Mar 5, 2024 | NICH 68 – 62 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#177) | -4.7 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#168) | -0.84 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#175) | -0.93 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#158) | 0.465 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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